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Part of Change 2.0

2024-2027

Actionable market intelligence, including vaccine demand forecast/scenarios, generated to strategically guide manufacturers and partners in their planning for introduction in high burden countries. The objectives include: 1. Strategic assessment of appropriate market-shaping interventions, 2.Stakeholder and decision process mapping , 3.Demand dynamics understanding and realistic market forecast development, 4. Commercialization strategy support for lead candidate(s).

IAVI

Ongoing

1. Understand likely use cases, delivery strategies, target populations, and drivers of preference and adoption; 2. Project demand; 3. Evaluate potential willingness to pay and budget impact; 4. Explore innovative financing mechanisms;

Forecasting TB vaccine demand to support supply and procurement planning

Ongoing

We present insights from two workshops with global health funders, academics, and in country TB and vaccine decision-makers and estimates of potential global demand for TB vaccines using a bottom-up, constrained demand forecasting model. The model was informed by the workshops, publicly available target product profile, landscape assessment of vaccines in development, information from proxy vaccines sourced from the WHO databases and peer reviewed literature, and interviews with TB and vaccine experts

Demand insights for uptake of TB vaccine

2022

Hypothetical vaccines

Completed

Summarize the major swing factors that would determine countries’ preference and effectively drive the uptake of a TB vaccine in terms of the date of introduction and the scale of catch-up campaign to reach the steady state