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Protecting investment in TB vaccine R&D and health systems amid debt distress and reform

IMF analysis reveals 51 countries with moderate-to-high risk of sovereign debt distress and 9 countries in debt distress: unable to fulfill financial obligations to lenders. For many high-TB burden countries, yearly debt servicing now exceeds domestic revenue – forcing countries to cut expenditure on health. Based on a literature review and engagement with World Bank/IMF, this abstract presents a policy analysis of the implications of sovereign debt distress on TB vaccine readiness and proposes debt relief and reform as innovative financial tools for creating fiscal space for government investment in vaccine R&D and implementation

IAVI

1. Understand likely use cases, delivery strategies, target populations, and drivers of preference and adoption; 2. Project demand; 3. Evaluate potential willingness to pay and budget impact; 4. Explore innovative financing mechanisms;

TBVacMod

Estimate the health impact of introducing a prevention of disease vaccine for adult and adolescents in moderate to high TB burden countries. Explore different vaccine introduction scenarios based on input from country stakeholders, including national TB program and immunization program officials, on priority groups for vaccination and likely vaccine coverage. The project's key questions include: 1) who are the priority groups in different countries and what is expected level of vaccine coverage in those groups 2) how will vaccine impact differ in different introduction scenarios (vary age, priority group, coverage)

Supporting countries with prioritization of new vaccine introductions (NVI) and portfolio optimization

Support countries with using multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) for prioritization of new vaccine introductions (NVI) (including new TB vaccines) and portfolio optimization, embedded in the NIS development process. The project's key questions are: 1. How can we best support countries with NVI including new TB vaccine prioritization regarding access to evidence, tools, technical support? 2. What criteria do countries use when prioritizing NVIs? 3. How to best align NVI prioritization with the NIS development process.

Facing up to reality? What to do if M72/AS01E doses are limited

The Ph3 trial for the vaccine candidate M72/AS01E is underway, and, assuming a positive result, could be licensed by 2030. Modelling suggested a large potential impact from introducing M72/AS01E but assumed an unconstrained dose supply. However, at least initially, it is likely that M72/AS01E will be supply-constrained. We estimated the effect of decisions surrounding the allocation of constrained doses on the potential global impact of M72/AS01E

Advancing evidence-informed in-country decision-making for new TB vaccine introduction: A responsive and integrated vaccine modelling approach from India

As new TB vaccines move into late-stage development, it is imperative for high-burden countries like India to ensure timely and effective evidence-generation to inform decision-making and accelerate vaccine development and introduction. To enable this, an in-country vaccine mathematical modelling effort has been initiated in India.

Tuberculosis Vaccine Accelerator Council

In January 2023, WHO’s Director-General announced plans to establish a TB vaccine accelerator Council to facilitate the development, testing, authorization, and use of new TB vaccines, drawing on lessons learned from the response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The establishment meeting of the Council took place on 20 September 2023, on the occasion of the 78th session of the United Nations General Assembly, in the lead up to the Second United Nations High-level Meeting on TB.The Council is anticipated to work in multiple ways. These includeidentifying needs for, and types of innovative sustainable financial solutions, as well as partnerships between the public, private and philanthropic sectors that can expedite the translation of science into TB vaccines, and ensure their equitable access once available; identifying market solutions to incentivize TB vaccine development, and to ensure that the R&D ecosystem is positioned to rapidly manufacture and distribute vaccines equitably and at scale, once they are available; and advocating with decision makers in the public, private, philanthropy and other relevant sectors to strengthen commitment and concerted action to develop and expand access to novel effective TB vaccines, including through political platforms such as the African Union, ASEAN, BRICS, G20, G7 and others.
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