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Acceptability of a proposed new tuberculosis vaccine among people deprived of liberty in Brazil

2025

Assesses acceptance of a hypothetical new TB vaccine and factors associated with vaccine hesitancy among people deprived of liberty in Brazil. The study surveyed 941 people across eight prison units in six Brazilian cities. It found 95.2% reported that they would accept a new TB vaccine if available

TB vaccine development: monitoring international patent filings to anticipate access challenges

2025-2026

M72/AS01e, MTBVAC

Maps international patent filings for two late-stage TB vaccine candidates, MTBVAC and M72/AS01E, as well as the QS-21 adjuvant used in M72/AS01E

Tuberculosis policy should shift focus to population-level interventions for greatest impact

2026

Hypothetical vaccines

Uses mathematical modelling to compare the population-level health and economic impacts of TB interventions in Brazil, India and South Africa. It highlights mass vaccination and community-wide screening as interventions with the potential for substantial epidemiological impact.

Part of Change 2.0

2024-2027

Hypothetical vaccines

Actionable market intelligence, including vaccine demand forecast/scenarios, generated to strategically guide manufacturers and partners in their planning for introduction in high burden countries. The objectives include: 1. Strategic assessment of appropriate market-shaping interventions, 2.Stakeholder and decision process mapping , 3.Demand dynamics understanding and realistic market forecast development, 4. Commercialization strategy support for lead candidate(s).

IAVI

1. Understand likely use cases, delivery strategies, target populations, and drivers of preference and adoption; 2. Project demand; 3. Evaluate potential willingness to pay and budget impact; 4. Explore innovative financing mechanisms;

Global impact and cost-effectiveness of tuberculosis interventions

2026

Hypothetical vaccines

The modelling study compares the population-level impact and cost-effectiveness of TB vaccination with other TB interventions. It models vaccination scale-up in Brazil, India, and South Africa and estimates that vaccination could prevent 15-28% of symptomatic TB episodes by 2050. It provides evidence to inform investment, policy, and planning for future TB vaccine introduction and scale-up.

The potential impact of novel tuberculosis vaccine introduction on economic growth in low- and middle-income countries

2023

Hypothetical vaccines

Estimates the potential economic impact of introducing novel TB vaccines in 105 low- and middle- income countries. It compares ifnant and adolescents/ adult vaccination scenarios and models their effects on TB- related mortality, morbidity, healthcare costs and GDP. Finding support decision making on the future development and introduciton of novel TB vaccines

New tuberculosis vaccines are in late-stage trials, but how confident is the public in high burden countries in vaccines?

With tuberculosis (TB) vaccine candidates in late-stage trials, it is important to prepare for implementation to avoid delays upon licensure. General confidence in vaccines has been identified as an anticipated barrier to introducing new TB vaccines. In the absence of detailed TB specific vaccine acceptability and confidence data, we analysed currently available vaccine confidence data in countries appearing on one of the World Health Organization (WHO) high burden lists to investigate vaccine confidence in countries with a high TB burden

Willingness to receive a future TB vaccine among pregnant women living in Brazil, Ghana, Kenya, and Pakistan

Our study assessed the willingness of pregnant women across four countries - Brazil, Ghana, Kenya, and Pakistan to receive a future TB vaccine.

FAST-TB MOD

2023-2026

Hypothetical vaccines

FAST-TB population and cost-effectiveness modelling core: This project will accelerate tuberculosis (TB) research translation by using mathematical modelling to address key priority questions as part of FAST TB, linking an expanded state-of-the-art modelling framework with country level data and cross consortium communication around new TB treatment regimens, diagnostics and other interventions.